Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.290464 0.338536 0.394017 0.463234 0.547897 0.648882 0.779655
2025-08-03 0.220657 0.282152 0.361849 0.474688 0.633621 0.854654 1.194821
2025-08-10 0.178730 0.243906 0.335685 0.478477 0.702925 1.056714 1.688760
2025-08-17 0.150870 0.216354 0.314684 0.479614 0.763419 1.261515 2.279481
2025-08-24 0.130116 0.194141 0.295414 0.476215 0.812313 1.460886 2.961709
2025-08-31 0.113581 0.175093 0.276692 0.467940 0.848152 1.646936 3.722758
2025-09-07 0.103894 0.165293 0.271078 0.480965 0.927712 1.953566 4.979228
2025-09-14 0.092784 0.151283 0.255462 0.471015 0.956025 2.155685 6.106180
2025-09-21 0.085375 0.142630 0.248019 0.475547 1.017731 2.468697 7.863803
2025-09-28 0.078443 0.133862 0.238879 0.474368 1.065529 2.767955 9.889516
2025-10-05 0.074139 0.129386 0.237362 0.489584 1.160000 3.256859 13.331766
2025-10-12 0.070013 0.124700 0.234647 0.501395 1.249767 3.785764 17.815034
2025-10-19 0.066078 0.120027 0.231507 0.512248 1.343639 4.402967 24.110825
2025-10-26 0.062870 0.116454 0.230266 0.527929 1.460081 5.204095 33.813842
2025-11-02 0.059225 0.111548 0.225336 0.532881 1.544762 5.945757 45.574101
2025-11-09 0.055737 0.106580 0.219559 0.534325 1.619065 6.712407 60.896702
2025-11-16 0.052292 0.101341 0.212435 0.530480 1.673684 7.438527 79.697110
2025-11-23 0.048885 0.095841 0.203981 0.521049 1.704253 8.070835 101.453383
2025-11-30 0.047073 0.093711 0.203515 0.535910 1.841061 9.528219 151.876363
2025-12-07 0.044128 0.088725 0.195245 0.524558 1.862303 10.244522 194.260973
2025-12-14 0.042205 0.085917 0.192224 0.529729 1.961665 11.691583 282.574750
2025-12-21 0.040152 0.082617 0.187518 0.528384 2.031358 13.024311 399.030849
2025-12-28 0.039016 0.081385 0.188169 0.545750 2.204290 15.604871 678.317273